Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.013976 0.016260 0.018783 0.021774 0.025223 0.029071 0.033690
2025-12-28 0.011083 0.014165 0.017883 0.022689 0.028730 0.036062 0.045630
2026-01-04 0.008939 0.012396 0.016895 0.023161 0.031639 0.042690 0.058164
2026-01-11 0.007022 0.010474 0.015281 0.022431 0.032756 0.047082 0.068419
2026-01-18 0.005756 0.009165 0.014208 0.022162 0.034330 0.052169 0.080216
2026-01-25 0.004717 0.007973 0.013064 0.021534 0.035185 0.056219 0.090940
2026-02-01 0.003953 0.007061 0.012172 0.021101 0.036194 0.060523 0.102496
2026-02-08 0.003388 0.006367 0.011505 0.020892 0.037469 0.065319 0.115342
2026-02-15 0.002876 0.005675 0.010719 0.020335 0.038031 0.068937 0.126577
2026-02-22 0.002644 0.005453 0.010724 0.021166 0.041111 0.077182 0.146775
2026-03-01 0.002338 0.005033 0.010294 0.021114 0.042539 0.082614 0.162498
2026-03-08 0.002003 0.004498 0.009558 0.020355 0.042495 0.085289 0.173337
2026-03-15 0.001762 0.004127 0.009108 0.020123 0.043502 0.090162 0.189175
2026-03-22 0.001669 0.004063 0.009283 0.021215 0.047352 0.101065 0.218300
2026-03-29 0.001542 0.003899 0.009221 0.021787 0.050178 0.110224 0.244950
2026-04-05 0.001345 0.003536 0.008659 0.021164 0.050321 0.113809 0.260289
2026-04-12 0.001201 0.003276 0.008297 0.020943 0.051326 0.119336 0.280451
2026-04-19 0.001054 0.002986 0.007815 0.020365 0.051422 0.122856 0.296540
2026-04-26 0.000937 0.002749 0.007429 0.019963 0.051875 0.127220 0.315035
2026-05-03 0.000843 0.002563 0.007143 0.019769 0.052804 0.132772 0.336914
2026-05-10 0.000747 0.002349 0.006751 0.019244 0.052826 0.136165 0.353991
2026-05-17 0.000714 0.002318 0.006847 0.020033 0.056344 0.148456 0.394296
2026-05-24 0.000653 0.002187 0.006648 0.019985 0.057637 0.155349 0.421819